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#422333 - 01/17/13 01:49 AM Finally Some Encouraging News
Jude Offline


Registered: 08/09/12
Posts: 1633
Loc: New England

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#422381 - 01/17/13 01:25 PM Re: Finally Some Encouraging News [Re: Jude]
cosmos Offline


Registered: 11/12/12
Posts: 191
Loc: Puget Sound
Jude encouraging news?

“One survey in the UNH report did not find a significant decline: The National Survey of Adolescents, in two studies 10 years apart, reported what UNH researchers described as a ‘‘non-significant decline’’ in sexual assault for girls, from 13.2 percent in 1995 to 11.5 percent in 2005, and a ‘‘non-significant rise for boys’’ from 3.5 percent to 3.8 percent.”

The boys number represents about 50,000 whereas the girls number represents over a quarter of a million, hasn’t that demographic population wise gone up over that time period; makes me wonder as to the validity of the study, heck even publishing the data seems suspect; less than 2% is considered not “statistically significant”. What if your one of these young people, how do you feel being not being “statistically significant”? Aren’t these numbers just a little off? Shouldn’t it be closer to 25/15%, or has this “don’t ask don’t tell” philosophy really corrupted our youth that badly? The study was a phone interview of the parents with a follow-up with the adolescences, honesty? I get that if the methodology stayed the same its valid but it just seems so wrong, 3.8% that’s only a million boys, our population is over 315 million, just seems like a really low number, add to that it seems like it’s something that was bought and paid for by DoJ; “violent crime all time low”; isn’t that what happens when you lock up the poor for being poor? Fuck the 13th amendment, slavery is still legal here, largest prison population in the world, larger the China’s; just seems part of an agenda.

Link to the 95 study: http://www.icpsr.umich.edu/icpsrweb/ICPSR/studies/02833

Sorry 50,000 potential more MS members is not encouraging and is not; not “statistically significant”, sorry about the double negative.

Cee
_________________________
"it has never yet been discovered how to make man unknow his knowledge, or unthink his thoughts"

T. Paine

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#422458 - 01/17/13 09:31 PM Re: Finally Some Encouraging News [Re: Jude]
traveler Offline
Member
MaleSurvivor

Registered: 02/07/06
Posts: 3956
Loc: settling in the USA again
yeah, Cee. the same thing occurred to me.
on the surface it looks like good news. but - if the one dissenting survey is accurate - it is anything but good news - because it means that the truth is somehow either being missed or hidden or getting lost somewhere.
and the one survey that showed little to no change was the one where they were apparently asking the kids directly. that seems pretty significant to me. forget what the number-crunchers say - LISTEN TO THE VICTIMS! i wouldn't want to be considered an insignificant fraction of a decimal percentage point!

Lee


Edited by traveler (01/17/13 11:33 PM)
_________________________
"My experience has shown me that I all too often tend to deny that which lies behind, but as I still believe, that which is denied cannot be healed." Brennan Manning, "All is Grace - A Ragamuffin Memoir"

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#422509 - 01/18/13 10:11 AM Re: Finally Some Encouraging News [Re: Jude]
unhappycamper Offline


Registered: 10/21/11
Posts: 724
Loc: VA
You have to wonder how many adolescents were too ashamed to truthfully answer "yes" to the questions about sexual victimization. If they'd asked me when I was a teen, I would have said "No," because that's what I told myself until I was 42 years old.

John

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